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badrequest • today at 5:46 PM • 5 replies • view on HN

literally what is the upside? They're supposedly worth as much as meta despite having nowhere near the customer base or years of work? How much more valuation do they have to trick people into giving them before investors get a return?


Replies

tarvaina • today at 6:26 PM

Anthropic hit 9 billion ARR in Dec 2025 and 80 billion in Oct 2026. Meta hit 9 billion in 2014 and 80 billion in 2020. It is now at 250 billion. At this growth rate Anthropic will be bigger than Meta already next year.

Caveats: It's hard to believe that this growth rate would continue. And Meta's numbers above are trailing 12 months, while Anthropic's are annualized run rate.

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impossiblefork • today at 6:08 PM

World's best or next best LLM, at least for code.

Since they actually have paying customers, it's a completely different sort of thing than for Meta. The question is instead whether they can keep at the frontier, whether the compute they've signed up for is good enough, etc.

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okdood64 • today at 6:03 PM

Why does years of work matter? Serious question.

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bel8 • today at 6:07 PM

That plus Meta's Muse Wonder LLM is very close to Opus 5.5.

FloorEgg • today at 6:13 PM

Do you know how companies are valued?