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bawolff • today at 8:09 PM • 7 replies • view on HN

huh.

I was betting on it being russia.

As a grey-zone war tactic, i feel like it doesnt super make a lot of sense for iran. France isn't super involved, so its more likely to draw them in then make them think the costs of supporting USA is unacceptable.

On the other hand, not much of Iran's strategy has made much long term sense and more has felt like desperation from a gov that is out of options and wants to go down swinging, so i suppose this fits with that.


Replies

Ajedi32 • today at 8:24 PM

This has been Iran's strategy throughout the entire war. Them attacking France isn't any less rational than attacking, say, Qtar, or blockading non-US ships bound for non-US countries transiting the straight of Hormuz. They can't really fight back against the US directly, so instead they lash out indiscriminately against anyone or anything that's even remotely friendly to the US.

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heisenbit • today at 8:46 PM

Russia would benefit if Europe started acting aggressively towards Iran (getting distracted from supporting Ukraine) and they are certainly not beyond false flag operations. Thinking about it their military is using literal false flag operations all the time to dupe their own leadership.

rdtsc • today at 8:23 PM

Then next level would be to think if this were also a false-flag attack who would have wanted to look like Iran did it.

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bamboozled • today at 8:50 PM

They are allies and I guess Russia could've suggested they do it, or at least knew about it and didn't care.

OhMeadhbh • today at 8:45 PM

I was guessing North Korea. But then again, I'm in the states and I think we're required to blame everything on North Korea these days.

pmarino90 • today at 8:17 PM

Considering the help Iran is getting from Russia I am honestly not that surprised.

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Roland303 • today at 8:25 PM

Iran russia and china and nk are all working for the same efforts as far as destabilizing the west and ideally turning back the clock on the whole citizens have rights thing that western citizens have been so uppity about and influencing the world with since the 1400's, barring that goal, settling on shitting up the place enough to put an end to western lead global order and returning to an age of regional powers with absolute authority in their spheres of influence. I dont think the attack needs to make sense, the statue of liberty stands in new york harbor, we are the same entity to them, they are at war with us.

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