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TheOtherHobbes • today at 1:27 PM • 1 reply • view on HN

Try extrapolating like climate scientists do.

Trad econ has as much predictive value as fantasy football.


Replies

simianwords • today at 1:52 PM

I won’t extrapolate toy models that predict end of human civilisation due to tail risks. None of that is going to happen.

even if the tail risks do happen like ice sheet melting, it is over 1000s of years before it truly makes an impact. And even then the impact is minor in grand scale of things.

You could always find some looney model that predicts the world would end if we don’t control emission. Agree to disagree on that.

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