alt Hacker NewsThe clips on the Sora site today would have been utterly astonishing ten years ago. Long term progress can be surprising.
Replies
bergen • 12/10/2024
The clips on the Sora site today would have been utterly astonishing ten years ago. Long term progress can be surprising.
> The clips on the Sora site today would have been utterly astonishing ten years ago.
Yeah, and Apollo 11 would have been utterly astonishing a decade before it occurred. And, yet, if you tried to project out from it to what further frontiers manned spaceflight would reach in the following decades, you’d…probably grossly overestimate what actually occurred.
> Long term progress can be surprising.
Sure, it can be surprising for optimists as well as naysayers; as a good rule of thumb, every curve that looks exponential in an early phase ends up being at best logistic.