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barnabee06/16/20254 repliesview on HN

I’d love to know the expected ad revenue per user for makers of apps like WhatsApp, Instagram.

I’m pretty convinced I’d pay 10x or more than that amount for a completely ad free version but I can’t be sure.


Replies

xp8406/16/2025

Don’t underestimate how expensive ads are and thus how much money they can bring in. Marco Arment, the developer of Overcast podcast player, has made remarks in the past about how the ad-supported version is completely viable and may actually make him more money per user than the price of his paid option. In his case, he runs his own contextual ad system. Obviously Meta is in a completely different league in terms of sophistication, meaning they are probably able to sell more targeted ads which means more money, and they also have the luxury of not having to pay any middlemen since they own their own ad infrastructure as well.

Part of me thinks the reason why they don’t offer that paid ad-free version of Facebook (which they built to try and appease the EU regulators) in the US is because their ARPU is so high that people would laugh at the price “Facebook/IG Premium” would have to cost.

Also, don’t forget that at least for now, paid subscriptions to social media apps would need to pay a 30% rent to the platform owner duopoly. This means that the price it would be it would cost would need to be 42% above than its ad ARPU just to break even.

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detaro06/16/2025

I'm not sure if the number was for Facebook specifically or all Meta apps, but they did quote a number of around $70 revenue per year per US user a while ago. (with (much) lower numbers in other parts of the world)

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owebmaster06/16/2025

You would not, because 90% of the years wouldn't pay and you wouldn't also to have nobody to talk to after everybody moves to the next chat app

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tensor06/16/2025

If Instragram had a reasonable paid tier, like $5 a month, I'd do that in a hearbeat. I'd also use instragram 1000x more. Because it's ads only in north america, I use it the minimum I need to for networking purposes.