I think we will see this lead to a boost in software developer employment.
I doubt it, the narrative is that software engineering is dead and everything will be replaced by AI, so that salaries can continue to be depressed. Just like the original passing didn't really cause much trouble in the general market this repeal will mostly just produce more shareholder value.
At best it will undo some of the decline over the past 2-3 years.
This "solution" is to a problem the GOP created themselves during Trump's first term, when they made the R&D deduction stuff expire in 2022.
Are you being serious or sarcastic? I cant tell.
Seriously, that seems unlikely.
Changes like this may have an impact on employment but it’s impossible to observe the results in a vacuum.
Given that most large companies are towing the “AI means less jobs required” line, it seems likely that this will, at best, modestly slow the rate at which companies divest themselves of software developers.
I cant see any reasonable reason, in a broader context, this would have a meaningful impact.
(Yeah yeah, AI means more jobs one day maybe, but right now that is categorically not true, and the future is always pure speculation, but in the near term, the impact of this seems like it probably wont be material to me; maybe a small reduction in the number of layoffs)
I’m hoping so, too, along with another boost in salary growth since they’re immediately expensable.
Might even ameliorate some of the corporate RTO efforts and now s/w devs will have more employment choice and a presumably more vibrant job market.