alt Hacker News> But you could make the same argument for any single result
Isn't that the point? The odds of getting the "most likely result" are lower than the odds of getting not the most likely result. Therefore, getting exactly 100/100 heads and tails would be unlikely!
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alwa • today at 7:13 PM
I think the disagreement is about what that unlikeliness implies. "Aha! You got any result? Clearly you're lying!"... I'm not sure how far that gets you.
There's probably a dorm-quality insight there about the supreme unlikeliness of being, though: out of all the possible universes, this one, etc...
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But as I said, getting any one specific result is less likely than getting another other possible result. And the disparity in likelihoods is greater for any one specific result other than the 50% split.