I don't believe this was written by Gemini, at least with that prompt, because it is obvious (hilarious and creative) satire of HN and the tech industry based on inside HN jokes and tropes, and clearly isn't a literal interpretation of the prompt.
Moreover, a quick look at your profile suggests these jokes are pretty inline with your sense of humor and writing style.
Anyways, if I'm correct, it's especially hilarious and impressive.
I agree with your characterization (not a literal interpretation of the prompt), and think that's the most important thing I wish more people ITT would understand. But I nevertheless think Gemini did create that in response. Sometimes people think they want "prediction" when actually they want cheeky inside jokes and vibes. If anything Gemini is probably faithfully responding to the vibes of the prompt as well as following traditional signals of "success" per it's training.
The thing that got me is there are no duds. With just the short prompt in the header I would have expected a few articles that missed the mark, got the details wrong, or even make no sense at all but everything in this checks out. I think an editor may have had a hand in it this the very least.
I feel like your expectations have been swayed by the average sentiment of HN on the capabilities of LLMs. These things can be shockingly good at humour and satire.
As a very quick experiment, I would encourage you to have an AI roast you based on your HN comments: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42857604
I don't think this would be much of a challenge for Gemini.
Remixing humor from the past text so that it is in the same style is exactly what the model is good at.
Retiring Gemini AND IBM buying OpenAI is a hat on a hat
It is quite remarkable just how frequently people in tech forums underestimate reasoning models. Same story on several large technology subreddits. Wouldn't have been my guess for who will get caught off guard by AI progress.
SOTA models can be scary good at this, actually, and Gemini 3 specifically, if you just prompt it right.
And, given the 1M context window, I wouldn't even be surprised if it was fed a bunch of real comments as examples.
Maybe the poster IS Gemini 3?
yeah I thought the same. This is either a fake deep fake, or it is so good that I think it should be marked as the inflexion point that defines the singularity.
Pretty much all of the history of HN front pages, posts, and comments are surely in the Gemini training corpus. Therefore it seems totally plausible that Gemini would understand HN inside jokes or sentiment outside of what's literally on the front page given in the prompt, especially given that the prompt specifically stated that this is the front page for HN.