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Google is dead. Where do we go now?

1028 pointsby tomjugglerlast Monday at 8:29 PM822 commentsview on HN

Comments

saltysaltlast Tuesday at 12:02 AM

There is always chaos when a central authority fails, and the "main home page for the Internet" model has definitely failed. AI killed it.

How long before we see sponsored ads placed alongside prompt answers?

geekamonguslast Tuesday at 2:28 PM

I'm not a marketer (anymore), but as an end user, I feel that Google has shot themselves in the foot with the horrendous search experience they provide these days. This notion and topic of discussion is becoming more commonplace online.

"Google results are just AI and sponsored content anymore." We've all seen it.

geldeduslast Tuesday at 11:17 PM

Google has drowned in irrelevance for me. I barely use it (i use DuckDuckGo), and it has massively de-indexed my websites for no apparent reason. I don't even bother to look at Google Search Console

delis-thumbs-7elast Tuesday at 2:02 PM

I thought SoMe replaced google for this sort of stuff like 6 years ago? GoogleAds are prob fine if you have a big retail business or something, but for anything creative some has been the marketing route I have seen everyone doing for years.

And looking at their site… Hacky creative coding. Mate, AI replaced you like 2 years ago.

SirMasterlast Monday at 10:02 PM

Apparently you should be getting ready to buy ad campaigns from LLM companies because they are going to inject ads into the responses soon. Young people are using LLMs like crazy in my experience.

phillipseamorelast Monday at 10:19 PM

That site loosing revenue mentioned in the post (https://bigtop.co.za/) doesn't even load for me.

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tedk-42last Monday at 9:39 PM

As it should be with all things.

I pivoted away from google search (duckduckgo instead primarily) but even then, the majority of "information" I'm looking for goes instead to chatgpt.

ThinkBeatlast Tuesday at 1:41 PM

This is impolite but it might be that the services you offer are in decreasing demand in general.

Your return customers know what a great show you do and it becomes tradition and they obviously love it.

But the difficulty finding new clients (something we all face) may be partially due the world moving on.

thesquiblast Tuesday at 1:56 AM

Anecdotally it seems like a lot of people go to whatever LLM they have access to and ask it what to do. Surely the next frontier of advertising products is directly injecting recommendations into the response from the LLM. Or at least make the answer incorporate products and services somehow, similar to how influencers do paid content in a seamless way alongside their main content.

alexpotatolast Monday at 9:09 PM

It wouldn't surprise me if physical advertising, as mentioned in the post, makes a comeback. Especially coupled with magazines etc apparently making a comeback too.

Also, a lot of ads now have QR codes so you can tell which physical ads are driving versus traffic versus those that aren't.

e.g. the "half of my advertising is a waste but I don't know which half" is not true anymore if you are using specific QR codes per location/advertisement.

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mikelitorislast Monday at 8:47 PM

Kagi

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jrjeksjd8dlast Monday at 9:14 PM

One anecdote, but I have a brick and mortar business and Adwords leads have fallen off a cliff year over year. Since AI stuff started getting pushed harder we've gotten fewer impressions and fewer conversions. Some of it is economic headwinds but also Google is just a black box we throw money into and pray it will send us business.

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dnwlast Monday at 9:21 PM

The author should try Google Local Services Ads instead of Google Ads. I think Google cannibalizes Google Ads with LSA.

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emodendroketlast Monday at 11:59 PM

I think this article title misled me a bit... Google seems to be fine but it's no longer driving traffic through Ad Words. I think that in particular is really getting messed up by AI since people often don't go to any Web site once an AI agent answers their question.

arkt8last Tuesday at 3:45 PM

No matter which new technology arises on the horizon... what is tainted is not internet, not AI. Is the entire purpose on follow dollars.

I hated when needed to see Google reports for ads. And be in a rush for SEO. This was a game of rats, no real knowledge, just attempts to satisfy an Algorithm that changed on weekly base.

I quit Facebook / Instagram / Google ads 6 years ago. Why? Because my advertisement was feeding the system on who show concurrent advertisement, collecting habits of MY customers.

So the system is broken. Stop pursuing the american dream and the wild capitalism. This new generation is building immunity to many of these things, at least until their engineers find a way to take control of these minds.

About where to go... I think we need to be satisfied with less, in the sense we need to buy a new car every year, nor new clothes just for fashion, neither gadgets just by compulsive appeal.

Buy the best you can, use it the most before discard it. Exchange fast food for what your granparents used to be fed. Know that you can be happy by yourself, not by what they said you need in the last 100 years. Life is that, the way is that. But many fall in the western system propaganda.

jasonvorhelast Tuesday at 9:01 AM

I'm amazed people on HN still use Google tbh. What for? Do you expect them to get better or treat your eyeballs and attention with more dignity anytime soon?

There's Kagi, Brave Search, even DDG would be better.

ameliuslast Monday at 9:59 PM

If google is dead, I sure hope they won't sell my gmail and google drive data to the highest bidder.

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mgaunardlast Monday at 11:20 PM

Is there such a thing as a good ad? I've always blocked them on all platforms.

Looking at instagram where I don't block anything, most of what it suggests to me are soft porn or soft scams (generic chinese dropships marketed as a unique innovation).

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xthelast Monday at 9:04 PM

Google isn’t dead, but it’s no longer the single answer. Even Mark Zuckerberg recently acknowledged how fast Google is improving, which explains why Meta is pushing AI harder. Still, competing shouldn’t mean replacing what already works.

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charlie0last Tuesday at 2:27 AM

It's only going to get worse from here. Everything is trending towards zero for any kind of online service as it gets easier to make software with LLMs. There just simply won't any moat left.

croneliuslast Monday at 9:38 PM

psa, "is comprised of" is almost never correct. "comprises" means "is composed of". so when people say X is comprised of Y they really mean "X comprises Y" or "X is composed of Y"

kachurovskiylast Monday at 9:33 PM

Try contacting YouTube creators in your area. Much more cost efficient than any other kinds of ads especially if you pick channels with your target audience IF you can actually get creators to promote you (most won't reply).

zkmonlast Tuesday at 12:49 PM

It is fantastic to see how a research paper by Google fueled the force that might kill Google. Attention is all that is sold by google. It is an attention broker. Now that very attention is thinly distributed, Attention as the most precious food for businesses, is under fierce struggle. Google has ruled the city center area will all the attention sinks, the billboards. But AI is the new mafia on the scene that kidnapped all attention and hoarded it inside the AI data centers.

mattmaroonlast Monday at 9:18 PM

I work in private events and the answer is definitely Facebook. Facebook ads have been better for quite some time. Targeting is a harder but also the CPCs are a lot lower so you can spray and pray a bit more.

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qubexlast Tuesday at 1:24 PM

As a game theorist and a cynic, my go-to response when I hear of non-zero-sum games is “yipee, both sides can lose!”

fumarlast Tuesday at 10:43 AM

We don’t know any details on OP’s ad campaign. Did they happen to make any errors? Is holiday the most competitive time? Bids?

layer8last Monday at 10:03 PM

The mainstream leaving Google search and the general web would be a chance for both getting better again. A new equilibrium will establish itself one way or the other.

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throw-12-16last Tuesday at 5:37 AM

Google is a waste of brainpower.

I wish it would actually die so that all those talented engineers could move on to solving non-ad problems.

cat_plus_pluslast Monday at 11:12 PM

You become a trusted source of data for AI chatbots (hopefully in somewhat ethical way for end users). Look into generative language optimization.

drdinglast Tuesday at 4:37 AM

The traffic goes to mobile and AI. Google is much stronger than ever before, in mobile and AI, not just web.

sreekanth850last Tuesday at 4:34 AM

you wrongly assumed about tiktok or shortform content. In last 6 months I only visited google for 2 things. Searching and looking at reviews of restaurants or shops. And of course navigation in maps. Other than that I never use google now a days. I'm sure there are a lot like me.

rolphlast Monday at 8:50 PM

-to explore strange new worlds, to seek out new life and new civilizations, to boldly go where no man has gone before.

sam0x17last Tuesday at 2:35 AM

I would say Kagi but they need to start doing their own indexing for that to be a real future

Lironlast Monday at 10:57 PM

Wait I know Google search to content sites is largely dead, but I thought Google ads still worked fine.

giancarlostorolast Tuesday at 2:50 AM

Well, there used to be altavista but it seems Yahoo bought them out. So I guess Yahoo?

wouldbecouldbelast Monday at 9:39 PM

An instant drop in 50% means something else is off. The shift to llm's has been happening already for the last years.

Its more likely their your ranking dropped. Or a competitor got ahead of you. Google is still main source of leads for service businesses.

If you are old & previously ranked well the LLM's will also mention you similar to how Google did.

1970-01-01last Monday at 8:43 PM

GOOG +65% YTD. Opposite of dead.

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bariswheellast Tuesday at 6:46 AM

Gross clickbait title, do better with your article titles.

arrty88last Tuesday at 3:31 AM

you can buy ads on instagram, fb, tiktok, reddit, youtube, amazon, apple iOS apps, the M$ windows start menu (apparently), and soon OpenAI (gemini gotta be following right)!

semiinfinitelylast Monday at 11:03 PM

maybe the issue is that you site bigtop.co.za literally does not load

austinpenalast Monday at 9:15 PM

A few things to determine if what you're experiencing is actually Google "being dead"

1. Check your search volume. Use Google Trends or the method I will share below. 2. Check how you spent in December vs how you spent during a previously great time. Understand if it's a volume issue or a conversion issue 3. See if anyone new entered your auction. If they did, find out what they're saying

-- 1a) Search Volume

Checking search volume: In the era of broad match, this is one of the most underrated approaches to diagnosing issues. Take a look at your `search exact match impression share` relative to your impressions on a few of your top keywords. Then measure out if search volume for your business is actually decreasing. Then, use the following rubric to diagnose futher:

1. Not decreasing. Move on to the next item 2. 5-10% decrease and competitive auction. If you have a decrease AND a competitive auction, a 20% drop in efficiency could be explained. 3. 5-10% decrease and a not-so-competitive auction. If this is the case, the drop in volume may not be what's causing your issues.

-- 1b) Click volume

Check your exact match impression > click rate. Similar to the last approach, this helps diagnose if there are SERP feature changes which could decrease the amount of clicks you're receiving despite demand remaining flat.

If this is the case, take a look at the SERP and find the new winners.

-- 2) Segment comparison

Compare December YOY and see what changed. Are you serving to a different age range? Different search term mix? Increased spend to search partners? Are the headline combinations which are serving different?

-- 3) Auction changes

Have you checked your auction insights? Are new competitors being more or less aggressive? If so, what are their headlines? Are they offering an easier booking experience than you are?

And... if Google is actually dead, you might try:

1. Meta ads. Turn off audience network, make sure you've got the conversions API set up, and see what happens. Expect leads to be lower intent. Make your creative dead simple. "If you're looking for kid party entertainment in Northdene..." Start with $20/day optimizing for leads.

2. Improve your form. I see typeform-style-forms do better than the long one you have.

3. (Maybe) If you don't already track `closed (won)` conversions into your google ads account, that could help. I find when I start tracking which searches turn into deals, I can restructure my account to de-prioritize the junk leads.

4. (Maybe) Add a soft form to each of your service pages. Basically an embedded form which starts by asking people softball questions like "How Old Are The Kids At Your Party." Once people start a form they're much more likely to complete it, even if the questions are very basic.

5. (Maybe) Add a way to give a phone call. Phone call leads convert 30-50% better in my experience. But, this isn't an option for every

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reconnectinglast Monday at 8:53 PM

Perhaps, click fraud?

Is there any new powerful platform/aggregator in your market?

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hollowturtlelast Monday at 11:39 PM

Genuine question: how is Google not losing a tons of money yet?

jmrmlast Tuesday at 3:11 PM

The response is ChatGPT.

They're going to add ads to their responses (if they didn't added it already), and people use it as search engine.

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sans_souselast Tuesday at 12:54 AM

Sorry in advance if this comes off as hostile, that's not my intent. I am genuinely wondering: You're in the business of advertising? And you're upset that Google isn't your golden goose anymore?

lrvickyesterday at 2:37 AM

It is not just Google Ads that are dead. Advertising in general, is dead.

No one wants this shit and no matter where you go, people will find a way to block your ads or leave the platforms they cannot easily block ads in.

As soon as you advertisers moved to the internet, you gave users the power to delete you, so thanks for that.

bix6last Monday at 11:37 PM

How long have you lived in Durban? Nice surfing pics.

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kunleylast Monday at 11:34 PM

Where do you go know - maybe realize that ads make everyone around miserable and with this bitter understanding go through painful but necessary process of finding other means of earning money.

PS. Seriously.

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