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philipallstartoday at 9:39 AM3 repliesview on HN

These damn articles. Software moved into an industrial revolution when you could write in a high level language, and not in assembly. This has already happened.


Replies

jamesdhuttontoday at 9:46 AM

The article makes this very point. From the article: “software has been industrialising for a long time: through reusable components (open source code), portability (containerisation, the cloud), democratisation (low-code / no-code tools), interoperability (API standards, package managers) and many other ways”

anthktoday at 2:38 PM

Partially, but no. First:

- Other input that a deck of cards. Terminals and teletypes were a revolution.

- Assembly was much better than hardware switches.

- Also, a proper keyboard input against some "monitor" software was zillions better than, again, a deck of cards/hardware toggles. When you can have a basic line basic editor and dump your changes in a paper tape or print your output you have now live editing instead of suffering batch jobs.

baqtoday at 9:47 AM

You either see what codex and opus are capable of and extrapolate the trendline or you don’t; the author clearly saw and extrapolated.

Not that I disagree: I’m on record agreeing with the article months ago. Folks in labs probably seen it coming for years.

Yes we’ve seen major improvements in software development velocity - libraries, OSes, containers, portable bytecodes - but I’m afraid we’ve seen nothing yet. Claude Code and Codex are just glimpses into the future.

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