alt Hacker NewsUnderlying this are two serious questions which a lot of military forces probably had to remind themselves of after 2022's invasion of Ukraine:
- how do you tell when a threat is real or bluster? Especially from a speaker who makes blustering threats all the time
- how do you tell when a war has gone hot, without too much of a risk of false positives or negatives? (see also Stanislav Petrov)
> how do you tell when a war has gone hot
When attacks are carried out or when an annexation is taking place. It's really quite simple to identify when a hostile force is moving in.
> Stanislav Petrov
Was litterally under the sea with no communications and took the prescient approach of better to wait. This is not some ambiiguity of hot war or not.