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johncolanduoni01/16/20262 repliesview on HN

But if there is a civil war, what were you going to be able to do with the USD anyway?


Replies

falcor8401/16/2026

Interesting - I found this quantitative historical study [0] showing that while a civil war does significantly increase the likelihood of inflation, only 36% of countries analyzed which had a civil war between 1975-1999 ended up in an inflationary crisis. And with the USD having such a strong foundation, I would expect the risk to be significantly lower.

[0] https://kjis.org/journal/view.html?uid=302&vmd=Full

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immibis01/16/2026

Exchange it for something else before the war started?