alt Hacker News> It might become cheaper or it might not
If it does not, this is going to be first technology in the history of mankind that has not become cheaper.
(But anyway, it already costs half compared to last year)
Replies
peaseagee • yesterday at 8:54 PM
That's not true. Many technologies get more expensive over time, as labor gets more expensive or as certain skills fall by the wayside, not everything is mass market. Have you tried getting a grandfather clock repaired lately?
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InsideOutSanta • yesterday at 8:57 PM
Sure, running an LLM is cheaper, but the way we use LLMs now requires way more tokens than last year.
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> But anyway, it already costs half compared to last year
You could not have bought Claude Opus 4.5 at any price one year ago I'm quite certain. The things that were available cost half of what they did then, and there are new things available. These are both true.
I'm agreeing with you, to be clear.
There are two pieces I expect to continue: inference for existing models will continue to get cheaper. Models will continue to get better.
Three things, actually.
The "hitting a wall" / "plateau" people will continue to be loud and wrong. Just as they have been since 2018[0].
[0]: https://blog.irvingwb.com/blog/2018/09/a-critical-appraisal-...