The complexity is what gets you. One of AWS's favorite situations is
1) Senior engineer starts on AWS
2) Senior engineer leaves because our industry does not value longevity or loyalty at all whatsoever (not saying it should, just observing that it doesn't)
3) New engineer comes in and panics
4) Ends up using a "managed service" to relieve the panic
5) New engineer leaves
6) Second new engineer comes in and not only panics but outright needs help
7) Paired with some "certified AWS partner" who claims to help "reduce cost" but who actually gets a kickback from the extra spend they induce (usually 10% if I'm not mistaken)
Calling it it ransomware is obviously hyperbolic but there are definitely some parallels one could draw
On top of it all, AWS pricing is about to massively go up due to the RAM price increase. There's no way it can't since AWS is over half of Amazon's profit while only around 15% of its revenue.
The end result of all this is that the percentage of people who know how to implement systems without AWS/Azure will be a single digit. From that point on, this will be the only "economic" way, it doesn't matter what the prices are.
It’s all anecdotal but in my experiences it’s usually opposite. Bored senior engineer wants to use something new and picks a AWS bespoke service for a new project.
I am sure it happens a multitude of ways but I have never seen the case you are describing.
> One of AWS's favorite situations
I'll give you an alternative scenario, which IME is more realistic.
I'm a software developer, and I've worked at several companies, big and small and in-between, with poor to abysmal IT/operations. I've introduced and/or advocated cloud at all of them.
The idea that it's "more expensive" is nonsense in these situations. Calculate the cost of the IT/operations incompetence, and the cost of the slowness of getting anything done, and cloud is cheap.
Extremely cheap.
Not only that, it can increase shipping velocity, and enable all kinds of important capabilities that the business otherwise just wouldn't have, or would struggle to implement.
Much of the "cloud so expensive" crowd are just engineers too narrowly focused on a small part of the picture, or in denial about their ability to compete with the competence of cloud providers.
> 3) New engineer comes in and panics
> 4) Ends up using a "managed service" to relieve the panic
It's not as though this is unique to cloud.
I've seen multiple managers come in and introduce some SaaS because it fills a gap in their own understanding and abilities. Then when they leave, everyone stops using it and the account is cancelled.
The difference with cloud is that it tends to be more central to the operation, so can't just be canceled when an advocate leaves.
One of the biggest problems with the self-hosted situations I’ve seen is when the senior engineers who set it up leave and the next generation has to figure out how to run it all.
In theory with perfect documentation they’d have a good head start to learn it, but there is always a lot of unwritten knowledge involved in managing an inherited setup.
With AWS the knowledge is at least transferable and you can find people who have worked with that exact thing before.
Engineers also leave for a lot of reasons. Even highly paid engineers go off and retire, change to a job for more novelty, or decide to try starting their own business.