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jmward01yesterday at 11:24 PM11 repliesview on HN

The title should change 'won't' to 'shouldn't'. This administration doesn't do things because of deep understanding, it does them because of gut reaction. The US Military could, at an unknown cost, just blast away.

This article points out, rightfully, how scared we are to put our weapons in harms way because of how expensive they are. I made this argument many times to friends years ago. From a military strategic point of view we should be developing drone/cruise missile carriers (and upping our SSGN capabilities) and abandoning the carrier navy. They are only good for show at port visits and turn useful ships like DDGs into escorts instead of front line assets.

That being said, from a diplomatic strategic point of view, I really like a useless navy full of ships that are good for port visits and not real wars. If you build ships good for real wars you tend to get into wars. If you build ships good for visiting other countries you tend not to go to war with those countries.


Replies

throwawayffffastoday at 12:17 AM

The position of the article seems to me to be it 'won't' because it can't. And that is an accurate assessment.

It would take much more than the forces in the region, to secure the "strait". To actually secure the strait, you have to secure the entire Persian Gulf. It doesn't matter if tankers can pass through the strait only to be blown up just of Qatar. At it's widest the Gulf is about 360 kilometers, well within the range of most drones, aerial, surface and underwater. So they would have to protect every ship in the gulf, intercept all the drones all the time, or secure the entire coastline. It's simply a task air-power and naval power can't perform. Not without major casualties and without attacks going through.

The US navies ships are good for real wars, but for casualties to be accepted, there has to be a real purpose. Escorting a bunch of privately owned oil tankers to bring down the price of gas does not really cut it.

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jordanbtoday at 5:06 AM

"Cruise missile carriers" are what the Burke class destroyers are.

It's also what Russia built their navy around. How'd that work out?

The US carriers have been involved in every naval action since WWII. They're hardly unused.

But attacking a country of 90 million people and a high level of military sophistication AND who's been expecting the attack and planning for it for many years was always going to be a tall order.

lumosttoday at 5:15 AM

Straights have been impossible to force since Churchill tried to force the Bosphorus in 1915. Placing ships in a narrow target area that can be pre-sighted is a losing proposition, a single artillery gun could mission-kill a destroyer in hormuz - mines/torpedos/drones could sink a ship in a place where rescue may not be possible.

pramyesterday at 11:40 PM

I think our navy is mostly designed for prestige too, but it seems like you could use the current carriers to transport like a million disposable drones?

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themafiatoday at 12:06 AM

> at an unknown cost

We know the cost. We've conducted that type of warfare before. It's incredibly destructive and barbaric and requires huge amounts of human sacrifice to positively take control of territory after you've finished battering it with high explosives from every available angle. It looks really bad on TV.

> cruise missile carriers

You don't get very large payloads this way. It's fine if you want to pierce the armor of another ship or if you want to launch an "assassination missile" at a single unit but not awesome if you want to replace the capabilities of carriers and battleships and the literal BFGs they carry.

> If you build ships good for real wars you tend to get into wars.

It was meant to be a deterrent against other nation states and one particular form of naval warfare. In the modern world of terrorist cells and asymmetric warfare this may be a moot point.

mcswelltoday at 12:44 AM

"They are only good for show at port visits..." This perfectly describes Trump's idea of battleships, in fact I think he's said more or less that himself. And he wants to help design them, because he's "aesthetic."

aaron695today at 1:57 AM

[dead]

testing22321yesterday at 11:29 PM

Losing just one carrier would give Trump all the excuse he needs to drop a nuke, declare a monster emergency and cancel elections…

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gmerctoday at 1:38 AM

have you considered that if you can’t keep your guns away from “gut driven” administrations, maybe you shouldn’t make them at all?

oceanplexiantoday at 3:43 AM

> This administration doesn't do things because of deep understanding, it does them because of gut reaction.

Do you think that the overwhelming tactical success in Venezuela, or the basically flawless decapitation strikes in the opening weeks of the Iran conflict were gut reactions?

Because of that’s the case I’d be terrified to know what the Pentagon is capable of if they really put their mind to it.

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jepj57today at 12:36 AM

In this instance, a flight of B-52's could wipe the concrete shielded missiles off the face of the Earth. Start off with F18s to secure the skies, then B52s to pound the missiles, then the Navy could stroll back in. It's just that no one has had the gumption to do it until now.

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