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drralast Friday at 7:31 AM1 replyview on HN

Seems like everybody an their mothers are using max plans these days. I wouldn't be surprised if LTV of each customer was big enough to justify spending.


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wg0last Friday at 8:14 AM

Assuming there are 10 million developers and everyone is at $200 max plan, that would be $2 billion/month or $24 billion/year maximum.

Note - this is just the revenue not the profit. No salaries, no compute paid for. Just plain revenue. Profit would be way less.

But even that - if we take it to $24 billion/year and we take a 10x multiple, the company is barely valued at $240 billon dollar, lets be generous and make it double at $480 billion and then round it up to $500 billion for a nice round number.

Far far from the $800 billion valuation Anthropic is looking at.

Only a matter of time.

EDIT: Fixed math

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