alt Hacker News> If you have a UUID collide, your chance of winning the lottery is exactly the same as it was before the UUID collision.
True, but only if you were already going to play the lottery anyway.
If you don't normally play the lottery and the UUID collision combined with superstition is what enticed you to play, then the UUID collision will have raised your chances of winning the lottery from 0% to slightly higher than 0%.
Colloquially, when I say "your chance of winning the lottery" what I mean is "your chance of winning the lottery given that you enter." And I think you probably know this. But I've updated my post to be clear.