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romanovcodetoday at 9:26 AM1 replyview on HN

I have a suspicion that when China will roll out their NVIDIA capable chips - and that is a question of when, not if - NVIDIA stock will plummet as it is heavily overvalued atm.


Replies

bigyabaitoday at 5:37 PM

> and that is a question of when, not if

Well yes. People have said this since at least 2012, and we're still waiting for a CUDA-killer in 2026.

Chinese fabs can't import cutting-edge silicon, and they can't manufacture EUVL at scale either. I have no reservations concerning China's ability to innovate, but the blockers are enormous and have succeeded in preventing China from accessing the true HPC market for over a decade now.