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rationalisttoday at 3:09 AM1 replyview on HN

While it's a possibility, do you believe it is likely enough in the very near future to the point where you are betting on it? Perhaps shorting TSMC?

If I did so when I first thought about it, I would be broke by now.


Replies

MagicMoonlighttoday at 6:39 AM

The point to short will be when the Chinese army forms up.

With Ukraine we saw it. It was incredibly obvious. Hilariously the Ukrainians themselves saw the huge army on their border and told everyone it wasn’t going to happen and refused to build any defences. Taiwan will be the same. But the satellites will give everyone enough warning.

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