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crazygringotoday at 6:22 PM2 repliesview on HN

Alpha is ultimately the result of analysis, of better analysis than others.

LLM's can actually be exceptionally good at research and pattern recognition, i.e. analysis. And while they aren't great at running numbers themselves, they can do exceptional work passing off Python scripts to an interpreter to generate the numerical results they need.

I'm quite sure the Robinhood AI is going to be trash, i.e. just a gimmick.

But, it's not crazy to think that with the right harness, there are big opportunities for identifying profitable strategies. Especially relying on unparalleled and essentially unlimited research capacity based on public information. More analysis than any single firm could ever hire.

And even for Robinhood users, it's entirely plausible that AI-traded stocks will perform much better than the trades a majority of users would make, since most investors are really unsophisticated.


Replies

mbestotoday at 8:11 PM

This is essentially what AlphaZero is doing: https://nof1.ai/

ai_fry_ur_braintoday at 7:47 PM

>LLM's can actually be exceptionally good at research and pattern recognition, i.e. analysis.

No they aren't, they're good at imitating analysis based on representations of analysis in their training data. Also, Its likely that out dated techniques would over represented in training data.

Do you think Jane Street would have the returns they do if they just imitated all their competitors and everyone was using the same strategies?

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