I think a problem a lot of people are grappling with here is that due to LLMs and AI generally, it’s basically impossible to predict what the future will look like or what jobs will still be around.
I’d probably say something like: do something you enjoy and seems like it might be useful, but accept that the pace of change may mean that whatever you study ends up being irrelevant.
Whatever solution there ends up being to this, it’s not going to be one that an individual 17 year old can implement. We’re past the point where individual good and bad choices matter that much to economic outcomes.
While knowledge is always great, I would encourage people not to seek advice from successful people like this (survivorship bias).
Moreover I am not sure it is even good advice? Would you advise a 17 y.o. to learn how transistors work or how to code (i.e. is LLM training the right level in the stack)? LLM training, a discipline where relevant work is already out of reach for 99.999% of budgets really as essential as this post implies?
I'm (more than) twice that age, but I've spent time learning this exactly this from videos by Andrej Karparthy and from books by Sebastian Raschka.
I didn't do it because it was useful to me in a practical sense. It's because LLMs are fascinating and I want to know how they work. From that perspective it's been a great experience. I have afirm grasp of the basics. This makes it much easier to understand frontier concepts like compressed latent attention. I can follow the field and understand it.
Not sure I would have got as much out of it at seventeen. I have a lot of background and experience which made it much easier to learn. I wasn't struggling with the linear algebra or with python. I already knew pytorch and neural networks. That helped a lot and I covered these tutorials fast and could skip over large sections. A few evenings and the odd weekend day over a couple of months was enough for me.
For seventeen year olds the tutorials are good enough to make it possible to learn this but it would have taken a lot longer to understand. On the other hand I would have learned a lot more. I think I would have learned a lot of valuable stuff.
However I also think 17 year old me was studying for his A levels and probably this was right choice in terms of maximising future opportunities. I'm not sure I think learning about LLMs instead is sensible. Indeed it might be bad advice. But I can absolutely agree with the sentiment.I think 17 year old me would have wanted to do this too.
Oddly, I just remembered I did the nearest possible thing to this when I was 17... back in 1991.
On an Amiga, I took various public domain text documents from cover disks and counted the probability of the next word given the previous word. Then spat out random sequences of words from it and printed them out. It was called "Splurge". Basically a very very simple single layer statistical language model.
Some of the sentences were randomly not bad sentences, which seemed amazing at the time!
That kind of thing (and Core Wars and Tierra etc) did lead me to getting a job at an artificial life startup at the end of the decade. But that was in turn about 10/15 years too early (no GPUs).
There's some lesson from this about timing, but honestly I've gained the most as a person when I did something that was fun, ethical and gained an audience. A tricky combination.
I am kind of amazed how negative the comments are here, especially on HN.
Learning to hack something together in high school using the latest technology (vacuum tubes, radios, microprocessors, web/javascript) has been a common theme in the tech world for generations. With LLMs and online tutorials, this isn't even a difficult suggestion. Do people think learning new tech is somehow wasted effort?
If I were 61 and wealthy, I wouldn’t write a stupid shit like this.
I’m no paulg, but if you’re reading this - and you’re 17 - just focus on getting into a university and having a good time that you won’t regret later. Play games/sports, make relationships, fall in love, explore.
Horrible advice. This may have been good advice 10 years ago, but not today. There are no positions for people who "kind of understand how toy LLMs work" because so many engineers do these days. Most of the real LLM optimization work is at the edge of research and highly proprietary and not something you could ever do without infra that costs millions.
But of course, 10 years ago this wasn't obvious.
It’s really disheartening to see how many people don’t know shit about LLMs, by reading the comments… ironic given what OP is trying to say
I'll use this post as a shameless opportunity to tell more people about a little side project, I made:
http://languagemodelbuilder.com teaches you (in a few hours to days) how to build an LLM from scratch. It's entirely free, without accounts, and without data collection.
If I were 17 again I'd prepare to go for volunteering overseas after high school for 1-2 years (plenty of free options in the EU where you might only need to cover the plane ticket). See the world, you learn a new language, help others and then think about what you want to do.
Easier said than done - where do you get the B300s from?
Better to start working with harnesses, evals, statistical analysis, etc. - where you don't need the huge hardware for pre-training etc.
i am a small fan of pg, nevertheless i find this to be an exceptionally good take and it is strange to me to see so much piling on to this one in particular here.
learning about llms is not useful so that you can make llms later, you want to learn about it so that you can work on next generation architectures. llms before long i imagine will be left in the dust by ebm / physics oriented models especially that can have an embodied understanding of the world. but a lot of things you learn about them are transferable by doing something like this
I would (and am) going into MLOps. Not just the general infrastructure/systems administration but how to do inference optimization, caching, quantization, memory pinning, vfio passthrough of gpus etc.
Writing, supervising and training LLMs are now the purview of... even larger LLMs. Optimising CUDA kernels; hand-writing SIMD assembly to speed up data loading; tinkering with your particular brand of DRAM to see if there's anything to gain from optimising for its memory topology and NUMA --- these are now the job of AI.
There is very little reason for humans to get all too engrossed in this type of work now, today, with the hope of being good enough at it to command a high salary in 3-5 years. AI can already do it incredibly well, and they can do it persistently and doggedly 24 hours a day.
I'd learn a trade in all seriousness.
(Edit: And learn how honest business works)
As if you couldn't learn what LLMs are at any Age.
The core technoology is pretty basic, developing a rudimentary understanding for why the individual parts work as well as they do is tricky.
This might be of use
When I was not 17 at the times of GPT2, I decided to not bother with learning how to build LLMs because it’s too expensive for an individual. This escalated quickly.
If you’re 17, you might learn hands on knowledge, like tacit knowledge in areas such as lathes, precision engineering, metrology, and other very niche fields. You can also try climbing and explore arts like music, painting, and drawing. And, of course, spend some time in nature.
I learned HTML when I was 17 in about 1995 and it's certainly taken me on a pretty fun career path. Less technical than LLMs for sure, but 'figure out where the industry is going and move what you're learning to there' is solid advice.
As an aside, for someone interested and who's an absolute beginner, can someone please recommend good resources on how to build LLMs from scratch? Thank you in advance.
I get the sense things have changed a bit since I graduated and there are lot more jobs in AI outside of academia these days, but it's still a very different field from other SWE pursuits, and it's not really accessible to hacker-minded people.
Learning AI isn't like learning HTML in the 90s then expecting to get a job at a tech company building websites. You can't just "learn how to build LLMs" and expect a frontier lab to hire you so I'd argue this is rather bad advise.
Additionally, unlike web development in the 90s you cant really do anything interesting yourself... All of the interesting/useful stuff will require huge amounts of compute and data so there isn't even much point in learning to start your own thing either.
As someone whose built many of NNs from scratch (hand written code, long before the days of LLMs), it's more or less useless knowledge if I wanted to work in a frontier lab or do anything interesting in the field.
I also think anyone thinking about going into a field which is basically a crossover of CompSci and Maths is absolutely insane right now. Even if you think there is a place for CompSci and Maths post LLMs, there's almost no chance anything you learn today will be relevant to the skills required in say 5-10 years.
LLMs are incredibly boring to me as a technology..Not in terms of what it can do, but how it works.
This might be a helpful resource: https://laurentiugabriel.github.io/token-town/
Curious, what would you do if you are a 40 year old?
I think pg answered the question as “what I’d do as a project” and not “what I’d do as a career.” So the critical comments are kind of missing the point, IMO.
I don’t see why learning how LLMs work is a bad project for a 17 year old.
Optimizing your entire career and the next decade+ of your life on LLMs? Yeah, probably not ideal. It’s almost always a bad idea to make long term decisions based on current trendy things.
And since everyone is using this topic to give their ideal advice to 17 year olds, my advice as a mid-30s guy: seriously consider becoming highly skilled at a specific thing, and don’t be scared off by the idea that it’ll take 5-10-15 years to get there.
When you’re 17-25, the timescale of a decade seems infinite. But it’s really not, and a decade spent “exploring and keeping your options open” sometimes just ends up with you being pretty decent but not amazing at a lot of random things.
Sometimes I wish I had just become a carpenter, chef, electrician, etc. – a specific skill set that leads to mastery over time, rather than the endless exciting-new-thing hamster wheel of working in tech.
2 years before everyone was doing custom training. What happened to all those today when frontier models itself become more powerful than custom trained ones?
... and it would be totally pointless.
I mean first that is already what plenty of 17yo are actually doing, because that is what they do at school or in parascholar activities. There are already countless of such tutorials where you can do that in an afternoon.
The pointless part though is precisely why Amazon and others are hunting for rare books, all the low hanging fruits have been picked already so just training a bigger model will simply mean burning more energy and money. Sure training a small one for the basic principle is a great pedagogical thing, training another one, medium, then maybe a large one, is also good in term of learning the process and architecture, but one should not expect it to be useful out of that context.
Pure players are precisely doing everything they can to corner the market by making their own scale unreachable by others. Smaller players with access to lesser infrastructure are thus betting on different market, e.g. embedded systems.
17yos should definitely build their (L)LMs from scratch and whatever bigger model they can train for free, or for cheap, but they should not expect that to bring them any riches.
What are the best resources to learn how to build LLMs from scratch for 17 year olds?
I have my opinion on this but I'd like to hear the HN opinion, I will just say one thing:
If you are starting with little knowledge, like a 17 year old would, letting an LLM explain it to you is a terrible idea.
yeah i loved tech so started learning circuity and soldering. but it was a waste of time i made my living learning how to program web applications.
I would not waste my time with yesterday's fad. The next unicorn generator will be something else.
It seems this is poor advice in that it’s suggesting young people should focus on the current problem as opposed to future problems. Focus on the current problem can result in making some money but it will result in making the incumbents more money, which is not disruptive. Isn’t the goal of radical software startups to maximize disruption?
If the two current bottlenecks, for this LLM madness that could very well be a bubble, are processing capacity and accuracy (a second processing problem) then what comes next? Isn’t that where young people should be looking or are we just giving up on innovation?
It’s crazy how much survivorship bias gets repackaged as generic advice.
Wait no it’s not, that was always happening.
What’s crazy is that people still believe in it.
When I was 17 I was building Windows Phone apps, bad decision on my part.
I don't think individuals have the resources to build an interesting llm. The l stands for large. You need a dataset too. Llms are only interesting because theyre large
And it's basically a weekend project to put transformers together in a ML library and train it.
The follow up comment,train it to play a game also doesn't make sense? Llms Sony really play games and there are better ml approaches to do that?
Venture capitalist suggests everyone to become his future employee, just as he has been (successfully) doing for his whole life.
Can't this guy enjoy being rich in silence? His takes get worse with every passing year.
YC Combinator guy says that with a time machine he would learn to build the currently trillions-valued or whatever technology. Okay.
This is always such a nonsense question-answer thing, asking a person who already succeeded what they would do if they were young.
Even worse when they ask themselves.
If I were 17, I wouldn't be using a social media plattform run by racist neo-fascists...
What the fuck does this guy know about? I'm sure if we went back through similar statements he's said over the years he's said the same thing about various technologies that are no longer relevant. The guy is a talentless hack who larps as a blogger and his only "redeeming" quality is having lots of money.
Owner of Golf Club Company says I should dedicate my life to golf lmfao.
He bases this decision on all of the experience he has amassed, as a 61 year old man in the tech industry. An actual 17 year old, with 17 years of experience, would not think like this, nor should they.
hackers and painters and kids and ROI and startups and capitalism and the destruction of nature and old guys with money talking like they know better in fascist social networks
The amount of people who missed the point here is absurd. He's advocating for learning about how LLMs work. For the sake of learning. Because no one's going to invent the next thing without at least some understanding of the current thing.
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Twitter mirror: https://nitter.net/paulg/status/2091544343589060625
There's this dilemma where in theory there's a ton of demand for engineers that can do real LLM machine-learning, but in practice there are very few available positions and entrepreneurship opportunities.
The reality is that an incredibly small minority of companies in the world do any real training or optimisation. It's unnecessary and inefficient for most purposes unless you are fully dedicated to being an LLM company, and still then it's a struggle. Those few that do train, they spend most of their budget on compute and have relatively small teams.
Getting experience in this field requires having access to very expensive hardware to begin with. And the skills will be quite hard to convert into any real value for someone, leading to a decent income, unless you have a ton of funding from patient investors, or you have decent contacts in Bay Area networks to get hired at the right place.
With all due respect, paulg is in somewhat of a bubble, this is not congruent with the global situation.