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tfehringtoday at 4:52 PM1 replyview on HN

For statistical time series forecasting, yes. This is for judgment-based forecasting, a somewhat different problem. It often involves, e.g. estimating the probabilities of one-off future events, which time series forecasting models aren’t suited for.


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bpt3today at 5:11 PM

While time-series forecasting models aren't well suited for this, I would argue that humans aren't either.

Obviously the best humans are better than average, but this isn't all that surprising to me?

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