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Zigurdtoday at 7:47 PM3 repliesview on HN

Currently nobody knows when the first big financial crisis is fully locked in. For example, if OpenAI can't close another round, and they default on their contracts with Oracle, there's your sign. Until then it looks like everybody is enjoying the communal hallucination.


Replies

nostrademonstoday at 8:33 PM

OpenAI's already announced they're not going public in 2026:

https://www.reuters.com/legal/litigation/openai-ipo-will-not...

They could potentially do another private bridge round, but for a company that was gearing up for the largest IPO in history a couple months ago, the reversal is a pretty bad sign. For investors that are looking for a fire sale, there's already smoke in the air.

downrightmiketoday at 8:44 PM

Probably the next nvidia chip drop because the old chips where priced at their highest level at a depreciation of 5 years instead of the 2 year norm. What happens when the next chip is way better(hearing 67x better, not just the 10x from initial claims)? Well all those chips need to be dumped fast and depreciate that second and the datacenter gets bankrupted and parted out

TacticalCodertoday at 7:56 PM

> Currently nobody knows when the first big financial crisis is fully locked in.

What do you mean the "first" big? 1929? 2001? 2008?

Do you mean 1929 wasn't a big financial crisis and that, this time, we'll have the first "real" big financial crisis?

I'm confused.

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