We is society through government via regulation. I don’t think GPUs or training will get that efficient that fast absent a distillation target provided by the easily accessible frontier lab APIs.
Further, even if you are right, so what. Is that a reason to just accept bad public policy? That’s like saying, anyone can learn how to make smallpox at home with a basic lab set up so we should just ignore any safety measures.
What a silly comparison. LLMs have nothing to do with smallpox.
Computing always gets cheaper and faster over time. We can argue about the exact rate of improvement but the results are inevitable and uncontrollable.
> Is that a reason to just accept bad public policy?
Not necessarily, but it should probably inform that public policy. I think the problem is no one knows what the public policy should be assuming that scenario is true. Even if you, somehow, regulate away massive GPU cluster training making such future training impossible, existing models are already here. Further already training smaller models for things like images, speech, and other specialties is cheaper than the bigger models.
I agree that we need some regulations like everything else, but it’s not clear to me what the right policy should be. I think the European ai act is a fine start, but it’s clearly not enough nor does it necessarily limits the training portion just the application portion. Not to mention that the requirements there can be summarized into something like “you have to be careful, and show evidence you tried to be careful”.