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a4isms • today at 8:07 PM • 26 replies • view on HN

I”m not going to get into Musk himself. Nor will I get into the artistic absurdity that a moder supercar represents. But I will speak for the hackers amongst us:

The problem with the demo is that it was vapourware. Period, full stop. It is not the car they are selling to us, and they haven't even begun making them. I am personally not a fan of pure concept products that exist only to polish the company’s crown.

Steve Jobs said that "Real artists ship," because the act of shipping is the act of making the incredibly difficult and important decisions that manage the enormous number of constraints that go into the actual product.

If people like concept cars that don't have to actually work or meet a specific price point, fine. It is entertainment, nothing wrong with that. But I am not and will not be impressed until, like Apple, the thing they show on stage is so far along that you can be expected to buy one within weeks, not years.

I am not telling anyone how to judge this. But by my very old-school standards, vapourware sucks.


Replies

dpweb • today at 8:28 PM

Doesn't matter if the product is real. The idea is to cultivate a sense of wonder and adventure. To get people talking about you. Then you sell more of the products that are real.

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hinkley • today at 8:23 PM

Concept cars often having been run through either CFD or a wind tunnel and also haven’t been vetted for NHTSA requirements, and both those and coefficient of friction are why cars all start to look alike.

I can’t recall the vehicle now but there was a futuristic car around the turn of the century that had a lot of buzz, but changed dramatically for production and nobody liked it. But an engineer on the project said the concept car had less aerodynamic drag going backward than forward, which is quite an achievement.

That is one of at least a dozen experiences I have had that tell me not to get attached until the prototypes ship to car reviewers for examination.

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cush • today at 10:29 PM

Building concept cars is a very important part of being a car manufacturer. The issue with Tesla is they take reservations as if it will ever go into production

londons_explore • today at 8:33 PM

It seems the 3 demos shown were even done with differing cars - it's likely that no single prototype car could do all 3 things!

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soperj • today at 8:51 PM

Steve wasn't an artist. Did Steve ship a product when Atari asked him to redesign pong into a one player game? No, that was Steve Wozniak. Jobs paid him a cool $350 out of the $5k bonus he got for that. Maybe he was an artist. Con-artist.

evilantnie • today at 8:56 PM

I've recently come to the conclusion that Musk isn't selling products anymore, he's selling memestocks. He's a master of grabbing attention in an attention economy and it seems to be working out well for him.

dkrich • today at 9:01 PM

This is so spot on. These things work in a bull market and we’ve been in a bull market for arguably 15 years. In a bear market the distortions that were created over the previous years are reversed and usually to an extreme.

It’s somewhat notable that Tesla was up significantly overnight and closed the day down 2%.

I wonder if this is the beginning of a very lengthy period after which people will look back and wonder “what the hell was everyone thinking?”

dylan604 • today at 8:56 PM

There are plenty of examples in the world where the one is all that is necessary. It's not like there are more than one Burj Khalifa building in the world. Many people pay for a one off car. There are multiple TV shows based on this very concept.

Just because it's not your hobby or within your budget, doesn't mean that others must feel the same way as you.

yipinwong • today at 8:38 PM

it's like saying, don't make no concept cars. No car manufacturers will follow that.

theteapot • today at 8:27 PM

> it was vapourware. Period, full stop.

What sad reaction to a real life flying car.

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uvdn7 • today at 8:55 PM

Concept products are not real products. Their purpose is often to make a point, to prove something is possible, to make a brand look cooler, or just to have fun. I don't think I would ever see this car flying on the road myself. But part of me likes the fact that there are people out there making crazy things like this. It is more fun.

Hoasi • today at 8:30 PM

Yeah, not judging either.

Looking at the pictures, design-wise, I’m almost tempted to ask: “what was the prompt?”.

andsoitis • today at 8:21 PM

It is pretty common for automobile companies to show concept cars!

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fblp • today at 8:19 PM

I actually think it's impressive that they have a prototype. It's less of a leap to think it could end up getting shipped. Whereas other competitors in the industry like Ferrari (Jony Ive collaboration) are launching cars with renders.

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ransom1538 • today at 10:38 PM

"The problem with the demo is that it was vapourware. Period, full stop."

I want to short anything you touch. Please give us stock predictions.

horns4lyfe • today at 8:24 PM

Idk I’m a fan of companies doing really cool stuff even if they don’t sell it

vannevar • today at 8:56 PM

I think the event was a very Elon Musk way to say, we're not making a Roadster. Which makes sense, Tesla is leaning into completely self-driving cars and the Roadster as originally envisioned would be the opposite of that.

topspin • today at 8:57 PM

> I am personally not a fan of pure concept products that exist only to polish the company’s crown

I am. These machines push the limits of prevailing technology. Strong organizations set stretch goals and pursue them regardless of market viability. Sometimes they share this with everyone, and convention has named this practice "concept" cars. I appreciate when they take the risk to do this. And when they do it well, credit is deserved.

There are real engineers and technicians behind this. A lot of them. And they will tell the story of this event for the rest of their lives. I've known a number of people with such stories. They're among the best people I've ever met.

It is possible to exist without cranking the cynical knob to 11 at all times.

DonHopkins • today at 8:54 PM

At least Elon's dealer is regularly shipping him ketamine on time, in quantity, and under budget.

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pbhjpbhj • today at 10:13 PM

>It is not the car they are selling to us

Well, it's not the car he's selling to me because I'm not going to support white supremacist fascists who flip heil Hitlers when they celebrate buying an election. It could be the best car in the World, I'm not sending Musk money, I'd rather walk.

The sooner y'all stop funding this shit the better.

moralestapia • today at 8:31 PM

What a weird thing to be angry about.

Disregarding that, all stuff that Tesla (and SpaceX) have demoed had become commercial products, so I wouldn't call Tesla a vaporware company.

Sure, it takes them decades ... but that's different from not shipping.

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rowanG077 • today at 8:28 PM

I don't get it. Musk has an insane track record of shipping things. Well later then he claimed but he usually gets it done. I'm not seeing anyone else leading companies that upended the domination of fossil fueled cars, paved the way for brain implants, build re-usable rockets and create global access to the internet.

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solfox • today at 8:53 PM

[flagged]

jiggawatts • today at 8:57 PM

"As methods for by suicide-by-wealth go, it's classier than drugs, and more accessible than a carbon-fiber submarine" -- some Reddit comment.

Concepts cars are cars.

What was shown on stage is closer to the Apollo lander training rigs than a vehicle that you could purchase and drive on a public road.

It can never, ever be sold as a production vehicle! The COPV gas storage is under enormous pressure, and would explode with the force of a decent sized bomb if damaged in an accident.

These things would be regularly turning their owners into pink mist, emulating Stockton Rush at a larger scale.