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hadlock • yesterday at 8:56 PM • 3 replies • view on HN

Only for about five more years. In 7-10 years the price of memory and compute should drop by 80-90%. In ten years the bleeding edge 14,000 token/s machines and 4TB memory is going to look quaint, "that stuff can't even bootstrap a kernel and entire (usable) posix-compliant OS in less than a week" vs the future of "the computer updates it's firmware in real time to meet the needs of the current task"


Replies

reasonableklout • yesterday at 10:44 PM

But why would these same trends not also vastly improve the capabilities of the top hardwares and ability of the trillion-dollar companies to leverage their economies of scale?

I'm all for the idea that AI capabilities can be democratized and help ordinary scientists outside of a handful of labs. But it seems there would need to be some checks against Big Tech and it won't happen by just letting the free market do its thing.

thunderfork • yesterday at 9:29 PM

>In 7-10 years the price of memory and compute should drop by 80-90%

The mechanism through which this occurs being..?

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