alt Hacker NewsTo me it doesn't seem like what AI has destroyed is the ability for mathematicians to develop understanding and share it with each other, but rather it's destroyed the yardstick (solving open problems) that has traditionally been used to measure how much they have contributed to that understanding.
I do see how this is a problem in terms of assigning credit, but I think the cat is already out of the bag in terms of these models being capable. Even without AI labs spending millions of dollars to solve millennium prize problems, there are plenty of other people who will use them to pick low hanging fruit. I don't think any social solution is going to make things go back to the way they were, where you could share your progress towards a famous open problem without risking someone "scooping" you within a couple of days.
I think that the most likely outcomes are either mathematics becomes more secretive, or there is a more deliberative approach to assigning credit than who was "first" to solve some problem. In the former case, this may slow down progress, and in the latter case, this could mean that credit would become more subjective, and be a continual source of controversy.
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The issue of credit is a relatively minor point in the declaration.
It's more about bypassing the culture and processes mathematicians have developed that lead to human understanding, generating new ideas, and bringing up new generations of mathematicians. (See also his article about "non-renewable mining" of good problems.)
Reducing mathematics to "let's just generate results through an isolated and automated system" is a misalignment since it bypasses those processes.
Open problems are not that yardstick. Fermat's Last Theorem is the result of Wiles and Wiles-Taylor, but without key results from Serre, Ribet, Ihara, Langlands-Tunnels, and Frey's program none of what Wiles did would work. But Wiles did get the prize. Nowadays I think the inputs have shrunk a bit by doing more in the R=T theorem so less other cleverness needed.
> but I think the cat is already out of the bag in terms of these models being capable.
When there's a discussion about doing something against the damage of the AI industry: "whoopsy, sorry, another cat escape, nothing can be done".
When there's a concrete mention of an actual solution to avoid more cats escaping: "that won't happen, and even if it did, the damage is already done, and in fact it’s not that bad you all just have to go with the future we decided for you."
So the bag is wide open, more cats will escape, and nothing can be done about any of it. not about the ones that got out, and not about the ones still inside. Sounds more like a preemptive excuse for inaction, cosplayed as pragmatism
> destroyed the yardstick … that has traditionally been used to measure how much they have contributed
This goes much broader than mathematics or academia. This is the entire basis via which society distributes its wealth: based on a labour market derived valuation of ‘contribution’.
>or there is a more deliberative approach to assigning credit than who was "first" to solve some problem
it feels like an unintended consequence of the millennium prize is that people view the [last contributor to the solution] as the only one to make progress on the problem. I've never viewed Poincaré as solved by one person and the objective of the prize was to encourage more people to make attempts and contribute towards progress.
this issue is independent, but in these circumstances perhaps interweaved, with the 'ai is taking over math' concerns
I feel a similar fate will befall engineers too. Your predictions anre quite interesting from that perspective.
Markets defined entirely by law have distorted our collective understanding of what can actually be built with the knowledge our species has accumulated thus far. How will traditional shields that have protected capital accumulation in tech to survive in a world where governments now realize control of technology is a national priority? Especially as we see its impact on modern warfare, and that such conflict looks like it’s only escalating over time.
Mathematicians appear to me (as an outsider) to exist in a field without such distortions, and I think offer engineers a preview of what’s to come. I certainly have completely ceased sharing original ideas online at this point.
Right. It seems like reading an AI proof (although it may not be well written) will provide the same insights as reading a proof from another mathematician, assuming it's been reviewed and edited, just like any human-authored publication. If the work is inherently valuable on it's own, I feel like that's mostly what matters.
Is it not an option to make academia more like a normal job, where people focus on collectively achieved outcomes rather than credit, priority etc.?
Agreed. The problem is not with AI per se, but with the reward mechanism in academia in general.
Nothing will be lost if the credit system disappears. History of Science has many examples where wipe outs happen. The chimp brain cant survive without creating elaborate stories about how important it is, more as a cope to its own limitations and what it cant predict or control. Humility is good for health. 3 inch chimp brains didnt create the universe.
The statement is not about AI but about the behaviour of AI companies. OpenAI have put vast resource into solving open maths problems: many millions of dollars of compute just on the Navier-Stokes result, plus whatever they spent on the broader Millenium Prize problems initiative and the other results they have published. Anthropic are doing the same. The statement is asking them to stop doing this.
AI companies are investing these resources primarily as a marketing exercise. There is no near term commercial value to a 100 page Lean proof of blow up in an extreme special case of Navier Stokes, besides the bragging rights. As the statement says any commercial value in this stuff comes a very long time later after new insights and techniques have been digested, integrated into the mathematical canon, expressed in ways that don't take a lifetime of study to understand, etc. (things that AI is not yet not capable of doing itself). The bragging rights, on the other hand, are massively valuable. There is a mystique to maths that makes "our AI solved a Millenium Prize problem" an irresistable headline for a company like OpenAI.
What the mathematicians are saying is stop pouring resources that most mathematicians can only dream of accessing into projects that are actively damaging to their field. They face a massive challenge of figuring out how maths can evolve in the face of this new technology, and this is not helping.